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November 28th, 2024
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How do constituents rate their government leadership?
Hi, this is David, CEO of Datawrapper. For this weekly chart, we’ll take a look at the impacts of the coronavirus crisis on politics, and in particular the different governments’ election poll numbers around the world.
In the past weeks, something interesting happened in German politics: The leading party of the government, CDU, had a remarkable rally in the public opinion polls. It rose from 28% at the beginning of March to 37% on April 8th, a 33% increase in voters!
It turns out that similar tendencies can be observed in other democracies – however, not in all of them. While France’s Emmanuel Macron or South Korea’s Moon Jae-In received a significant increase in popularity, others, such as Spain’s Pedro Sánchez or US president Donald Trump are faced with decreasing poll numbers.
Picking February 12th as the baseline reference point before the global pandemic, let’s have a look at how the poll results developed for different politicians around the world, relative to where they started:
There are multiple possible explanations for this: maybe constituents are happy with the government’s response to the crisis. Then again, there’s also a well-studied phenomenon of political leaders gaining in popularity during a crisis. It even has a name: the rally ’round the flag effect.
I would have liked to include more countries for comparison, particularly those that enforced stricter regulations to slow the outbreak of the disease. However, not for all of them, data was available:
I used various sources for the individual countries:
That’s it from me for this week. Stay tuned for next week’s chart, with only a 92.4% chance of covering a coronavirus-related topic.
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